the vast majority of time coming first on the ballot increases a candidate's vote total by an average of two percent.That bodes well for Salinas. Being first on the ballot and name recognition definitely help. In other states, a candidate's name will be alternated on the list to make things fair, but I'm not going to hold my breath that that will happen here.
The mayor does have weaknesses, but in trying to expose them, his opponents might feel the backlash thus sending more votes to Salinas. At this point, the candidates running against him might count on coming in second and having a runoff take place. With five candidates confirmed, it's likely that a runoff will occur. But that's assuming that he comes out with the most votes.
Again, the people could take his shortcomings (lack of leadership) into account. But what are the chances that he loses what with Laredo not having a one-term mayor in recent history. Could he break the streak? We'll have to wait and see.